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A Texas Tall Tale Remembered, and Demolished, One More Time

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Paige%2002-23-04.jpg
In December 2000, the New York Times introduced us to the president elect's choice for Secretary of Education, a former football coach with a penchant for "snake-, lizard-, ostrich- or alligator-skin boots." In that article, Jacques Steinberg reported that under his leadership as the superintendent of the Houston Independent School District, Rod Paige "helped nudge test scores steadily upward in the Houston district, which is largely black and Hispanic. It now ranks among the highest-performing in the state." Houston, the commentators cooed, was nothing short of a miracle. In 2002, the district won the first Broad Prize for Urban Education.

By 2003, the press - and the Texas Education Agency - started looking more closely at Houston's results. In the Times first article on the Houston miracle, "Questions on Data Cloud Luster of Houston Schools," Diana Schemo wrote, "Now, some here are questioning whether the miracle may have been smoke and mirrors, at least on the high school level. And they are suggesting that perhaps Houston is a model of how the focus on school accountability can sometimes go wrong, driving administrators to alter data or push students likely to mar a school's profile -- through poor attendance or low test scores -- out the back door."

Ten days later, the Times editorial page wrote that Paige "owes it to the country to share his thoughts on how this happened and what it means." In an interview with the Times editorial board a few days later, Paige defended his record. Gains in student achievement were real and "still standing," though he said ''there probably was'' a dropout problem.

But the cat was out of the bag. By December the Times had acquired test score data - both on the Texas TAAS and the nationally normed Stanford tests - and established that Houston's state test score gains were enormously inflated. In other words, Houston's sizable gains on the Texas test largely evaporated on the Stanford 9. In August 2004, 60 Minutes ran a segment on the Texas Miracle. When the Dallas Morning News uncovered widespread cheating in Houston late in 2004, it appeared that the game was finally over.

In this month's issue of Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, a new study by UT-Austin professor Julian Vasquez-Heilig and Linda Darling-Hammond, "Accountability Texas-Style: The Progress and Learning of Urban Minority Students in a High-Stakes Testing Context," revisits the Houston miracle by analyzing years of student-level test score and graduation data (1995-2002). There's no version up on the web yet, but here are some key findings:

* Growth on scores on TAAS exam outpaced scores on the Stanford exam. This appears to be prima facie evidence of test score inflation.

* Low-scoring students were excluded from taking the TAAS, both through special education and language exemptions and grade retention.

* A key strategy for improving test scores involved retaining students in 9th grade so they would not sit for the TAAS exit exam in 10th grade. At its peak, 30% of 9th graders were retained for one or more years. Some students were kept in 9th grade for two years, and then skipped to 11th grade so they could avoid the exit test. When more students were retained, unsurprisingly, accountability ratings went up.

* While minuscule dropout rates were reported, only a third of students were graduating in Houston in 5 years or less.

Take home lessons? If it looks too good to be true, it probably is.
4 Comments

Great post, eduwonkette! It seems to me that Rod Paige was simply a pea in this Administration's pod. Your post -- on the heels of Scott McClellan's book and today's release of the US Senate report on the lead-up to the war in Iraq -- seems to suggest that the entire upper echelon of the Bush Administration is populated by liars and cheats.

Substantively, Houston's story provides a cautionary tale about school districts that are singled out for praise based on a year or two worth of test scores. Many of those districts can't sustain those scores (or gains) over time, calling into question whether any of their supposed 'best' practices really are at all. Of course, in this case, there was pure cheating and obfuscation of data going on.

Too bad the NY times has never taken a close look at the NYC "miracle" closer to home. Nearly everything they found in Houston has happened here -- inflated state test scores that don't match up with national results; similarly inflated graduation rates.

I saw Rod Paige speak at an education policy conference toward the end of his tenure as Sec of Education. I was shocked to see that he could barely string a sentence together - he appeared to have little command of grammar and difficulty answering any substantive questions. He certainly did not appear to be a role model for education in America. Where did Bush find this guy?

There's a bit of a problem with this article. While the Houston folks may have played some tricks with the test, for the past five or so years known as the TAKS, the exit level test--the test that determines if a student can graduate from high school--is in 11th, not 10th grade.

The testing and the rules and regimentation surrounding it have become impossible to distinguish from an Onion parody. Special education students whose mental abilities are on the level of 18 month olds must take TAKS tests, even if this means that their teachers are reduced to assisting them "hand over hand, which means literally guiding their hands to the correct answer. Teachers administering the test are told that they must constantly "monitor" students by walking around and ensuring that they are working on the correct portions of the tests at the correct times, answering all of the questions, etc., yet teachers are also told that they are not allowed to look at or read any portion of the tests, nor are they allowed to so much as mention their content to anyone, lest their teaching certificates be revoked or they be prosecuted.

To call the state testing racket insane is an insult to the truly insane everywhere.

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  • Mike: There's a bit of a problem with this article. While read more
  • Attorney DC: I saw Rod Paige speak at an education policy conference read more
  • Leonie Haimson: Too bad the NY times has never taken a close read more
  • Liam Goldrick: Great post, eduwonkette! It seems to me that Rod Paige read more

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